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Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Easy 10% per month profits, 3

...continuation of discussion about Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom

Using Van Tharp’s assumption of risking only 1% on each trade and making 20 trades per month with a system having an Expectancy of 0.60, here’s my calculation of the results assuming further that the account size is $100,000.


According to my calculations, if you have a random system where your average win is 2.2 times the size of your average loss, then you would have an Expectancy of 0.60. I’ve seen many such systems so that part is plausible. With that Expectancy, after 20 trades, you can expect 12% profits on your $100,000!

 


Somehow, the Table showing my calculations is far, far down this page with lots of blank space. You'll have to scroll down to see it. Tech support can't seem to figure out how to delete the blank space!






































































































Av Win % Win Av Loss % Loss Exp Trades Net Profit  Profit/$100,000
15,000 10 1,000 90 0.60 20 12,000 0.12
7,000 20 1,000 80 0.60 20 12.000 0.12
4,320 30 1,000 70 0.60 20 11,920 0.12
3,000 40 1,000 60 0.60 20 12,000 0.12
2,200 50 1,000 50 0.60 20 12,000 0.12
1,670 60 1,000 40 0.60 20 12,040 0.12
1,280 70 1,000 30 0.60 20 11,920 0.12
1,000 80 1,000 20 0.60 20 12,000 0.12
780 90 1,000 10 0.60 20 12,040 0.12




...continued tomorrow...

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Copyright 2008 Raymond T. Lee. All rights reserved.
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